NASDAQ: MSTR
The numbers don’t lie, but they don’t tell the whole story either. MicroStrategy sits at $434.58 a share, up three percent in a day when most folks are just trying to get by. The company holds more Bitcoin than anyone else in corporate America—597,325 coins worth sixty-three billion dollars. That’s more money than some countries see in a year.
But here’s the thing about betting everything on digital gold: it cuts both ways. The machine learning models, those cold algorithms that crunch numbers without feeling, they’re saying bearish. Thirty-two percent chance of going up. Not the kind of odds you’d take to Vegas.
Michael Saylor made this bed when he was running the show, turning a software business into something else entirely. Now Phong Le sits in the executive chair, managing a company that’s part tech firm, part Bitcoin casino. The enterprise analytics business—the original thing that made MicroStrategy what it was—that’s down 3.6 percent this quarter. Revenue of $111 million sounds impressive until you realize they’re losing $16.49 per share.
The subscription services are growing though, up sixty-one percent. That’s the kind of professional growth that keeps a business alive when everything else is spinning. Teams still need their data visualization tools, their reporting systems. The corporate world doesn’t stop needing training and communication solutions just because Bitcoin has a bad day.
Wall Street analysts, those people who make a living reading tea leaves and calling it research, they’re mostly bullish. Ten out of thirteen say buy. They see the stock hitting $514, maybe higher. But then again, these are the same folks who missed every major crash in recent memory.
The truth is simpler than all the technical indicators and sentiment analysis. MicroStrategy isn’t really a software company anymore. It’s a Bitcoin play with some enterprise analytics on the side. When Bitcoin goes up, MSTR soars. When it doesn’t, well, shareholders learn about volatility the hard way.
That’s the reality of modern finance. Sometimes the most effective strategy is the simplest one: know what you’re buying before you buy it.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.